Neighborhood Price Index
Updated weekly · July 13, 2026
How are Triangle neighborhoods priced relative to comparable homes? This report analyzes 781 neighborhoods using recent closed sales data, adjusting for home size, age, and seasonality to reveal where pricing runs above, below, or in line with the broader market. Learn how it works →
Data source: Wake, Durham & Chatham County Public Records · Single-family homes · 365-day lookback
Top 10 Premium-Priced
Neighborhoods where recent sales consistently closed above comparable homes. Buyers may face stronger competition and less room to negotiate.
| # | Neighborhood | Price Index | Premium | Sales | Data Depth | Median Price | Median $/sqft |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chapel Creek | 99.9 | +63.8% | 5 | Thin | $920,000 | $302 |
| 2 | Grand Highland Estates | 99.9 | +79.1% | 7 | Thin | $2,225,000 | $402 |
| 3 | Prescott | 99.9 | +57.5% | 13 | Thin | $1,400,000 | $345 |
| 4 | Sanctuary At Lake Wheeler | 99.9 | +68.8% | 13 | Thin | $1,650,000 | $370 |
| 5 | Wexford | 99.9 | +68.7% | 10 | Thin | $1,677,500 | $371 |
| 6 | Mordecai | 99.9 | +55.0% | 14 | Thin | $901,750 | $372 |
| 7 | Woodcrest | 99.7 | +46.5% | 11 | Thin | $540,000 | $411 |
| 8 | The Reserve At Falls Lake | 99.6 | +45.2% | 6 | Thin | $1,693,750 | $378 |
| 9 | Battery Heights | 99.5 | +42.8% | 5 | Thin | $675,000 | $354 |
| 10 | Belvidere Park | 99.5 | +43.0% | 12 | Thin | $430,000 | $414 |
Top 10 Value-Priced
Neighborhoods where recent sales closed below comparable homes. This may indicate more negotiating room, less buyer competition, or differences in home condition not captured in public records.
| # | Neighborhood | Price Index | Discount | Sales | Data Depth | Median Price | Median $/sqft |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Springhill | 2.0 | -24.7% | 9 | Thin | $415,000 | $171 |
| 2 | Dutchman Creek | 2.6 | -23.6% | 5 | Thin | $310,000 | $129 |
| 3 | Highland Trails | 3.1 | -22.8% | 5 | Thin | $392,000 | $196 |
| 4 | Glen Royall | 3.1 | -22.8% | 7 | Thin | $318,000 | $234 |
| 5 | Prestleigh | 3.6 | -22.0% | 48 | Deep | $434,000 | $170 |
| 6 | Medfield Estates | 3.8 | -21.8% | 8 | Thin | $557,500 | $253 |
| 7 | Fox Run | 4.2 | -21.3% | 9 | Thin | $580,000 | $235 |
| 8 | Kingwood Forest | 5.4 | -19.9% | 9 | Thin | $252,000 | $175 |
| 9 | Quail Hollow | 6.9 | -18.6% | 5 | Thin | $550,000 | $248 |
| 10 | Summerdale | 7.3 | -18.3% | 11 | Thin | $400,000 | $173 |
Top 10 Premium-Priced
Neighborhoods where recent sales consistently closed above comparable homes. Buyers may face stronger competition and less room to negotiate.
| # | Neighborhood | Price Index | Premium | Sales | Data Depth | Median Price | Median $/sqft |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Courtyards At Oak Grove | 98.5 | +35.4% | 9 | Thin | $623,000 | $301 |
| 2 | Del Webb Carolina Arbors | 97.7 | +32.2% | 58 | Deep | $582,500 | $298 |
| 3 | Creekside At Bethpage | 97.2 | +30.8% | 32 | Deep | $562,500 | $301 |
| 4 | Englewood | 94.5 | +25.2% | 5 | Thin | $550,000 | $417 |
| 5 | Croasdaile | 94.4 | +25.0% | 19 | Solid | $1,150,000 | $277 |
| 6 | The Oaks | 92.8 | +22.8% | 7 | Thin | $1,120,000 | $364 |
| 7 | Forest Hills | 90.5 | +20.2% | 6 | Thin | $731,000 | $361 |
| 8 | The View | 86.1 | +16.5% | 14 | Thin | $690,000 | $257 |
| 9 | Northgate | 86.0 | +16.4% | 6 | Thin | $398,000 | $292 |
| 10 | Lockeland | 85.8 | +16.3% | 5 | Thin | $300,000 | $293 |
Top 10 Value-Priced
Neighborhoods where recent sales closed below comparable homes. This may indicate more negotiating room, less buyer competition, or differences in home condition not captured in public records.
| # | Neighborhood | Price Index | Discount | Sales | Data Depth | Median Price | Median $/sqft |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stokesdale | 0.3 | -32.0% | 5 | Thin | $380,000 | $240 |
| 2 | Unity Village | 0.3 | -31.6% | 7 | Thin | $260,000 | $201 |
| 3 | Black Horse Run | 9.6 | -16.7% | 5 | Thin | $494,000 | $155 |
| 4 | Swanns Mill | 10.3 | -16.3% | 6 | Thin | $375,000 | $150 |
| 5 | Old Farm | 11.0 | -15.8% | 14 | Thin | $350,000 | $176 |
| 6 | Colony Woods | 11.2 | -15.7% | 7 | Thin | $565,000 | $269 |
| 7 | Cardinal Lake | 11.4 | -15.6% | 13 | Thin | $380,000 | $158 |
| 8 | Site Nc13-18 | 11.9 | -15.3% | 6 | Thin | $253,500 | $196 |
| 9 | American Village | 12.4 | -15.0% | 8 | Thin | $475,250 | $226 |
| 10 | Stoneybrook Cottages | 12.4 | -15.0% | 6 | Thin | $560,000 | $195 |
Top 10 Premium-Priced
Neighborhoods where recent sales consistently closed above comparable homes. Buyers may face stronger competition and less room to negotiate.
| # | Neighborhood | Price Index | Premium | Sales | Data Depth | Median Price | Median $/sqft |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | The Oaks | 97.1 | +25.1% | 6 | Thin | $1,857,500 | $437 |
| 2 | Meadowmont | 95.8 | +22.5% | 9 | Thin | $770,000 | $413 |
| 3 | Spring Valley | 88.3 | +15.0% | 5 | Thin | $593,000 | $403 |
| 4 | Coker Hills Extended | 85.8 | +13.4% | 20 | Solid | $867,500 | $313 |
| 5 | Lake Forest | 85.6 | +13.3% | 6 | Thin | $1,100,000 | $290 |
| 6 | Fiori Hill | 83.8 | +12.3% | 5 | Thin | $545,000 | $309 |
| 7 | Williams Glen | 83.1 | +11.9% | 7 | Thin | $986,000 | $261 |
Top 10 Value-Priced
Neighborhoods where recent sales closed below comparable homes. This may indicate more negotiating room, less buyer competition, or differences in home condition not captured in public records.
| # | Neighborhood | Price Index | Discount | Sales | Data Depth | Median Price | Median $/sqft |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Weatherhill | 1.8 | -21.9% | 10 | Thin | $272,250 | $172 |
| 2 | Briarcliff | 13.3 | -12.3% | 17 | Solid | $635,000 | $254 |
| 3 | Collington Farms | 14.0 | -11.9% | 10 | Thin | $340,000 | $146 |
| 4 | Colonial Hills | 14.7 | -11.6% | 6 | Thin | $292,500 | $221 |
| 5 | Ridgefield | 15.3 | -11.3% | 6 | Thin | $454,750 | $199 |
Top 10 Premium-Priced
Neighborhoods where recent sales consistently closed above comparable homes. Buyers may face stronger competition and less room to negotiate.
| # | Neighborhood | Price Index | Premium | Sales | Data Depth | Median Price | Median $/sqft |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Montvale | 98.2 | +43.0% | 5 | Thin | $1,797,000 | $450 |
| 2 | Destin | 96.7 | +36.8% | 6 | Thin | $1,825,000 | $426 |
| 3 | South Hickory Mountain | 88.3 | +22.5% | 7 | Thin | $640,000 | $307 |
| 4 | Fearrington Village Bush Creek | 88.0 | +22.2% | 9 | Thin | $780,000 | $308 |
| 5 | Colvard Farms | 87.4 | +21.5% | 7 | Thin | $1,150,000 | $316 |
| 6 | North West Baldwin | 85.4 | +19.7% | 9 | Thin | $580,000 | $289 |
Top 10 Value-Priced
Neighborhoods where recent sales closed below comparable homes. This may indicate more negotiating room, less buyer competition, or differences in home condition not captured in public records.
| # | Neighborhood | Price Index | Discount | Sales | Data Depth | Median Price | Median $/sqft |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aunt Bee's | 1.6 | -30.5% | 5 | Thin | $236,500 | $115 |
| 2 | Goldston | 7.3 | -22.0% | 5 | Thin | $260,000 | $123 |
| 3 | The Vineyards | 16.8 | -15.1% | 73 | Deep | $552,000 | $227 |
| 4 | Potterstone Village | 17.5 | -14.7% | 9 | Thin | $540,000 | $227 |
Price Index Distribution
Data Depth Distribution
Price Index vs. Data Depth
Market Seasonal Index
Quick Reference
- Price Index (0–100): Where a neighborhood falls on the pricing spectrum. Higher = homes selling above comparable properties; lower = a relative discount.
- Premium / Discount (%): The estimated percentage difference vs. comparable homes elsewhere.
- Data Depth: How much sales data backs up the score. Deep = 30+ sales; Solid = 15–29 sales; Thin = fewer than 15 sales.
- Premium-Priced (Index ≥ 80): Sales consistently above comparable homes. Market-Aligned (21–79): In line with comparable homes. Value-Priced (≤ 20): Sales below comparable homes.
The Price Index measures pricing dynamics, not neighborhood quality or desirability. A lower score does not mean a less desirable place to live.
This report is for informational purposes only and is not a substitute for professional real estate advice. Pricing dynamics reflect recent closed sales data from county public records and do not represent a judgment on neighborhood quality, safety, schools, or desirability. Always consult a licensed real estate professional before making buying or selling decisions.
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