Neighborhood Price Index

Updated weekly · April 13, 2026

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How are Triangle neighborhoods priced relative to comparable homes? This report analyzes 791 neighborhoods using recent closed sales data, adjusting for home size, age, and seasonality to reveal where pricing runs above, below, or in line with the broader market. Learn how it works →

4 Counties Analyzed
791 Neighborhoods Ranked
12,124 Closed Sales Analyzed
+45.9% Avg Premium (Top 20)

Data source: Wake, Durham & Chatham County Public Records · Single-family homes · 365-day lookback

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580 Ranked
84 Premium-Priced
430 Market-Aligned
66 Value-Priced
9,290 Sales Analyzed

Top 10 Premium-Priced

Neighborhoods where recent sales consistently closed above comparable homes. Buyers may face stronger competition and less room to negotiate.

# Neighborhood Price Index Premium Sales Data Depth Median Price Median $/sqft
1 Grand Highland Estates 99.9 +79.0% 8 Thin $2,187,500 $398
2 Prescott 99.9 +57.3% 13 Thin $1,375,000 $337
3 Sanctuary At Lake Wheeler 99.9 +65.8% 12 Thin $1,638,250 $368
4 Wexford 99.9 +67.2% 11 Thin $1,650,000 $364
5 Drewry Hills 99.9 +48.4% 9 Thin $1,671,000 $501
6 Mordecai 99.9 +61.3% 15 Solid $963,500 $408
7 The Reserve At Falls Lake 99.8 +46.3% 7 Thin $1,702,500 $379
8 Battery Heights 99.7 +43.9% 7 Thin $675,000 $354
9 Carolina Country Club 99.6 +43.0% 6 Thin $1,475,000 $483
10 Woodcrest 99.6 +42.7% 10 Thin $522,500 $389

Top 10 Value-Priced

Neighborhoods where recent sales closed below comparable homes. This may indicate more negotiating room, less buyer competition, or differences in home condition not captured in public records.

# Neighborhood Price Index Discount Sales Data Depth Median Price Median $/sqft
1 Parker Station 2.0 -23.8% 8 Thin $394,000 $158
2 Dutchman Creek 2.3 -23.2% 5 Thin $320,000 $129
3 Fox Run 2.3 -23.3% 10 Thin $597,500 $242
4 Yorkshire Downs 3.2 -21.9% 6 Thin $589,500 $253
5 Medfield Estates 4.7 -19.9% 9 Thin $550,000 $264
6 Springhill 4.9 -19.8% 6 Thin $433,000 $180
7 Glen Royall 5.4 -19.3% 6 Thin $322,750 $251
8 Prestleigh 5.6 -19.1% 41 Deep $433,000 $176
9 Summerdale 6.0 -18.7% 11 Thin $400,000 $173
10 Bryn Mawr 6.7 -18.0% 12 Thin $540,000 $223
120 Ranked
13 Premium-Priced
88 Market-Aligned
19 Value-Priced
1,570 Sales Analyzed

Top 10 Premium-Priced

Neighborhoods where recent sales consistently closed above comparable homes. Buyers may face stronger competition and less room to negotiate.

# Neighborhood Price Index Premium Sales Data Depth Median Price Median $/sqft
1 The Oaks 98.9 +35.0% 10 Thin $1,131,500 $407
2 Del Webb Carolina Arbors 98.3 +32.1% 77 Deep $565,000 $302
3 Creekside At Bethpage 97.1 +28.5% 37 Deep $560,000 $295
4 Croasdaile 96.5 +27.0% 23 Solid $1,125,000 $298
5 Colonial Village 96.3 +26.5% 5 Thin $381,000 $334
6 Northgate 95.8 +25.6% 8 Thin $397,500 $365
7 Englewood 95.7 +25.3% 6 Thin $617,500 $432
8 Fendol Farms 91.1 +19.4% 10 Thin $542,500 $293
9 Colony Park 87.9 +16.6% 7 Thin $810,000 $259
10 The View 87.9 +16.6% 16 Solid $700,500 $252

Top 10 Value-Priced

Neighborhoods where recent sales closed below comparable homes. This may indicate more negotiating room, less buyer competition, or differences in home condition not captured in public records.

# Neighborhood Price Index Discount Sales Data Depth Median Price Median $/sqft
1 Irvinwood 2.5 -22.8% 5 Thin $325,500 $162
2 Scarsdale Village 3.1 -21.8% 8 Thin $380,000 $195
3 West Hills 4.3 -20.2% 7 Thin $345,000 $223
4 Old Farm 4.5 -20.0% 14 Thin $350,000 $176
5 Ganyard Farm 6.4 -18.1% 5 Thin $378,500 $165
6 Mistletoe Hills 6.9 -17.7% 6 Thin $379,500 $213
7 Site Nc13-18 7.7 -17.1% 5 Thin $230,000 $195
8 Stoneybrook Cottages 8.1 -16.8% 6 Thin $560,000 $195
9 Cardinal Lake 8.7 -16.4% 11 Thin $380,000 $161
10 Swanns Mill 8.7 -16.4% 6 Thin $375,000 $150
47 Ranked
7 Premium-Priced
36 Market-Aligned
4 Value-Priced
453 Sales Analyzed

Top 10 Premium-Priced

Neighborhoods where recent sales consistently closed above comparable homes. Buyers may face stronger competition and less room to negotiate.

# Neighborhood Price Index Premium Sales Data Depth Median Price Median $/sqft
1 The Oaks 97.5 +27.8% 6 Thin $1,857,500 $437
2 Meadowmont 95.6 +23.9% 8 Thin $785,000 $413
3 Williams Glen 90.0 +17.5% 7 Thin $875,500 $261
4 Lake Forest 86.4 +14.8% 10 Thin $1,152,500 $333
5 Fiori Hill 84.8 +13.8% 5 Thin $545,000 $309
6 Estes Hills 82.5 +12.5% 7 Thin $795,000 $409
7 Laurel Hill 81.9 +12.2% 5 Thin $945,000 $381

Top 10 Value-Priced

Neighborhoods where recent sales closed below comparable homes. This may indicate more negotiating room, less buyer competition, or differences in home condition not captured in public records.

# Neighborhood Price Index Discount Sales Data Depth Median Price Median $/sqft
1 Winmore 2.7 -21.6% 6 Thin $587,500 $263
2 Briarcliff 10.6 -14.5% 16 Solid $635,000 $257
3 Colonial Hills 11.9 -13.8% 5 Thin $330,000 $212
4 Collington Farms 17.4 -11.1% 11 Thin $317,500 $166
44 Ranked
7 Premium-Priced
33 Market-Aligned
4 Value-Priced
811 Sales Analyzed

Top 10 Premium-Priced

Neighborhoods where recent sales consistently closed above comparable homes. Buyers may face stronger competition and less room to negotiate.

# Neighborhood Price Index Premium Sales Data Depth Median Price Median $/sqft
1 Montvale 95.2 +40.7% 6 Thin $1,848,250 $449
2 South Hickory Mountain 94.7 +39.6% 8 Thin $462,500 $294
3 North Cape Fear 94.0 +37.8% 6 Thin $960,000 $339
4 Destin 93.0 +35.5% 6 Thin $1,887,500 $437
5 Seaforth Landing 88.7 +28.4% 7 Thin $1,350,000 $369
6 Colvard Farms 86.6 +25.6% 6 Thin $1,152,500 $317
7 North West Baldwin 85.9 +24.8% 5 Thin $680,000 $289

Top 10 Value-Priced

Neighborhoods where recent sales closed below comparable homes. This may indicate more negotiating room, less buyer competition, or differences in home condition not captured in public records.

# Neighborhood Price Index Discount Sales Data Depth Median Price Median $/sqft
1 Aunt Bee's 0.7 -39.4% 5 Thin $220,000 $127
2 Goldston 3.9 -30.4% 5 Thin $225,000 $141
3 East Siler City 9.5 -23.6% 5 Thin $125,000 $119
4 Potterstone Village 18.5 -16.9% 10 Thin $535,000 $215

Price Index Distribution

Data Depth Distribution

Price Index vs. Data Depth

Market Seasonal Index

Quick Reference

  • Price Index (0–100): Where a neighborhood falls on the pricing spectrum. Higher = homes selling above comparable properties; lower = a relative discount.
  • Premium / Discount (%): The estimated percentage difference vs. comparable homes elsewhere.
  • Data Depth: How much sales data backs up the score. Deep = 30+ sales; Solid = 15–29 sales; Thin = fewer than 15 sales.
  • Premium-Priced (Index ≥ 80): Sales consistently above comparable homes. Market-Aligned (21–79): In line with comparable homes. Value-Priced (≤ 20): Sales below comparable homes.

The Price Index measures pricing dynamics, not neighborhood quality or desirability. A lower score does not mean a less desirable place to live.

Learn More — About the Price Index

This report is for informational purposes only and is not a substitute for professional real estate advice. Pricing dynamics reflect recent closed sales data from county public records and do not represent a judgment on neighborhood quality, safety, schools, or desirability. Always consult a licensed real estate professional before making buying or selling decisions.

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